Michigan Likely Voters
Without Gingrich: Tossup including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or voted absentee and Gingrich supporters' second choice
Mitt Romney Rick Santorum Ron Paul Other Undecided
Row % Row % Row % Row % Row %
Michigan Likely Voters 41% 39% 14% 1% 4%
Party Identification** Republican 47% 40% 8% 0% 4%
Independent 36% 37% 22% 1% 4%
Tea Party Supporters 32% 56% 9% 0% 2%
Intensity of Tea Party Support Strongly support Tea Party 18% 76% 5% 0% 1%
Support Tea Party 40% 45% 12% 1% 3%
Does not support Tea Party 49% 26% 19% 1% 5%
Political Ideology Liberal-Moderate 47% 25% 24% 1% 4%
Conservative 42% 42% 10% 0% 5%
Very conservative 25% 64% 7% 1% 2%
Political Ideology Liberal-Moderate 47% 25% 24% 1% 4%
Conservative-Very conservative 38% 48% 10% 1% 4%
Past Participation*** Yes 42% 41% 12% 1% 4%
No 37% 31% 25% 1% 5%
Republican Candidates Mitt Romney 100% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rick Santorum 0% 100% 0% 0% 0%
Ron Paul 0% 0% 100% 0% 0%
Newt Gingrich 35% 50% 15% 0% 0%
Most Important Quality Shares your values 28% 53% 16% 0% 4%
Is closest to you on the issues 40% 31% 24% 0% 4%
Can beat President Obama in 2012 48% 42% 6% 1% 4%
Has the experience to govern 60% 25% 10% 1% 3%
Gender Men 38% 41% 16% 1% 4%
Women 45% 38% 12% 0% 5%
Age Under 45 37% 34% 23% 0% 6%
45 or older 43% 43% 10% 1% 3%
Region Wayne County (Detroit) 43% 32% 22% 1% 3%
Oakland and Macomb Counties 44% 39% 15% 0% 2%
Lansing-Ann Arbor Area 40% 39% 14% 1% 7%
Grand Rapids Area 41% 39% 15% 1% 4%
North Central/Upper Peninsula 38% 46% 10% 1% 5%
Household Income Less than $75,000 40% 41% 14% 1% 4%
$75,000 or more 43% 40% 13% 0% 4%
Evangelical Christians 30% 54% 12% 1% 3%
Mormons are Christians Yes 50% 32% 14% 0% 3%
No-Unsure 30% 48% 15% 1% 6%
Education Not college graduate 40% 37% 16% 1% 6%
College graduate 42% 43% 12% 0% 3%
Interview Type Landline 42% 40% 13% 1% 4%
Cell Phone 37% 36% 23% 0% 4%
NBC News/Marist Poll Michigan Likely Republican Primary Voters. Interviews conducted February 19th and 20th, 2012, N=715 MOE +/- 3.7 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
**There are too few Democrats for analysis purposes
***Past participation refers to previous participation in a Michigan Republican Presidential Primary.